What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 04 Nov 2015 → 01 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 09 Dec 2025 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 17 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 30 Sep 2012 → 10 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 06 Dec 2024 → 21 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Aug 2013 → 29 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Nov 2018 → 15 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 18 Feb 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 28 Sep 1983 → 21 Nov 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 16 Apr 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 500 | 128 | 25.6% | 10 | 17 |
| Polish Cup | 148 | 36 | 24.3% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 81 | 18 | 22.2% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2023 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2017 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2015 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2012 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2010 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1984 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 513 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Lech Poznań drew 126 where the draw model expected 132.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.