What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 23 Mar 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 01 May 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 13 Feb 1994 → 01 May 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 26 Jan 2020 → 07 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Apr 2011 → 02 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 17 Sep 2005 → 26 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 May 2003 → 02 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 01 Feb 2026 → 12 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 07 Mar 2021 → 04 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 01 Nov 2006 → 22 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 594 | 163 | 27.4% | 14 | 14 |
| Serie B | 314 | 101 | 32.2% | 7 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Serie C | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 4 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 16 |
| 2025 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 5 |
| 2024 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 17 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2017 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2010 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2001 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2000 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 5 |
| 1999 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 1998 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 1994 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 8 |
Over 375 matches (Aug 2015 – Nov 2026), US Lecce drew 105 where the draw model expected 99.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.