What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 06 Jan 2021 → 15 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 27 Oct 2019 → 21 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 07 Jan 2012 → 11 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 04 Feb 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 20 May 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 16 Sep 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 10 May 2015 → 18 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 13 Feb 2011 → 22 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 27 Aug 2017 → 29 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 20 Nov 2016 → 05 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1220 | 298 | 24.4% | 6 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 162 | 39 | 24.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 73 | 15 | 20.5% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 66 | 17 | 25.8% | 7 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Supercoppa Italiana | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 17 |
| 2023 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 25 |
| 2020 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 15 |
| 2018 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 15 |
| 2017 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 13 |
| 2016 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2015 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2014 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 2012 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 18 |
| 2011 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2010 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 13 |
| 2007 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2004 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2002 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2001 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 6 |
| 1998 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 1994 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 593 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), SS Lazio drew 128 where the draw model expected 143.6 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 152.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.