What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 03 Feb 2018 → 29 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 May 2026 → 13 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 25 Sep 2019 → 25 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 26 Jul 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 19 May 2024 → 24 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 10 Jun 2020 → 11 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 24 Apr 2019 → 10 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 12 Aug 2018 → 26 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 27 Sep 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Oct 2025 → 30 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 303 | 73 | 24.1% | 3 | 17 |
| Austrian Cup | 217 | 48 | 22.1% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 16 |
| 2025 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2021 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 18 |
| 2017 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1999 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 410 matches (Jul 2015 – Nov 2026), LASK drew 93 where the draw model expected 93.0 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 97.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.