What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 29 Apr 1962 → 14 Oct 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 04 May 1955 → 23 Oct 1955 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 01 Jul 1959 → 04 Oct 1959 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 01 Jul 1952 → 12 Oct 1952 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 01 Aug 1954 → 03 Oct 1954 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 02 May 1954 → 01 Jul 1954 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 10 May 1953 → 01 Jul 1953 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 30 Apr 1960 → 01 Jul 1960 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 28 Apr 1957 → 26 May 1957 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 21 May 1956 → 05 Aug 1956 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Football Cup | 202 | 29 | 14.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Eliteserien | 159 | 29 | 18.2% | 0 | 19 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 21 |
| 1961 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1960 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1959 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 1958 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 1957 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 7 |
| 1956 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1955 | 21 | 0 | 0.0% | 21 |
| 1954 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1953 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 1952 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1951 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1927 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1921 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1918 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1917 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 361 matches (Sep 1904 – Apr 2014), Larvik Turn drew 58 where the draw model expected 58.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 67.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.