What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 21 Dec 1994 → 19 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 16 Apr 1995 → 22 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 19 Dec 2009 → 14 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 21 Nov 2010 → 30 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 Mar 1996 → 25 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Jan 2007 → 18 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 07 Jan 2006 → 26 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 04 Oct 2025 → 03 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 05 May 2007 → 20 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 29 Nov 1995 → 28 Jan 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 440 | 140 | 31.8% | 2 | 15 |
| Greek Football Cup | 222 | 49 | 22.1% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 12 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2025 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2020 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2009 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2008 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 11 |
| 1995 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% | 15 |
| 1994 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 1993 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1989 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1988 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1984 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 240 matches (Oct 2015 – Aug 2026), AEL Larissa drew 76 where the draw model expected 60.2 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 57.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.