☆
· GRE · Greek Football Cup
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GRE · Club
AEL Larissa
AEL Larissa
Played
688
Draw %
28.5%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
16
21 Dec 1994 → 19 Mar 1995
Avg top run
11.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
40.0%
p100
36.0%
Draw score
0.104
rank #1,511
Draws
196
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,546
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,713
reached 26 Apr 2009
Rank
#997
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
688
last 22 Aug 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 240 matches (Oct 2015 – Aug 2026), AEL Larissa drew 76 where the draw model expected 60.1 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 57.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 16
21 Dec 1994 → 19 Mar 1995
2 15
16 Apr 1995 → 22 Oct 1995
3 12
19 Dec 2009 → 14 Mar 2010
4 11
21 Nov 2010 → 30 Jan 2011
5 11
24 Mar 1996 → 25 Aug 1996
6 10
27 Jan 2007 → 18 Mar 2007
7 10
07 Jan 2006 → 26 Feb 2006
8 9
04 Oct 2025 → 03 Dec 2025
9 9
05 May 2007 → 20 Sep 2007
10 9
29 Nov 1995 → 28 Jan 1996
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 21 Dec 1994 → 19 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 16 Apr 1995 → 22 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 19 Dec 2009 → 14 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 21 Nov 2010 → 30 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 Mar 1996 → 25 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Jan 2007 → 18 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 07 Jan 2006 → 26 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 04 Oct 2025 → 03 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 05 May 2007 → 20 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 29 Nov 1995 → 28 Jan 1996 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 440 | 140 | 31.8% | 2 | 15 |
| Greek Football Cup | 222 | 49 | 22.1% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 12 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2025 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2020 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2009 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2008 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 11 |
| 1995 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% | 15 |
| 1994 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 1993 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1989 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1988 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1984 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
