What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 19 Jun 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 27 May 2012 → 23 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Sep 2018 → 16 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 14 Jun 2022 → 24 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 26 Jul 2019 → 20 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 09 May 2016 → 15 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 15 Apr 2012 → 21 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 18 Aug 2023 → 01 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 08 Apr 2022 → 07 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 11 Sep 2022 → 16 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 420 | 129 | 30.7% | 2 | 21 |
| Finnish Cup | 88 | 17 | 19.3% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 2023 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 4 |
| 2014 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 21 |
| 2012 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 18 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 360 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Lahti drew 118 where the draw model expected 92.0 from those particular fixtures — about 26 more, or 3.2 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of Lahti.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 9 times running. A flat league average would have expected 87.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.