What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 23 Mar 2014 → 03 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 23 Sep 2012 → 30 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Apr 2016 → 27 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 09 Sep 2013 → 04 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 22 Jul 2012 → 02 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 04 Dec 2015 → 19 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 24 Apr 2015 → 16 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 15 Aug 2015 → 30 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 18 Aug 2014 → 30 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 10 Nov 2013 → 02 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 122 | 40 | 32.8% | 9 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2015 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 4 |
| 2014 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2013 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 10 |
Over 132 matches (Jul 2012 – May 2016), Kuban Krasnodar drew 43 where the draw model expected 35.6 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.