What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 30 Jul 2021 → 31 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Jul 2023 → 21 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 26 Jul 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 07 May 2021 → 24 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Apr 2025 → 17 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 03 Jun 2023 → 27 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 14 Jun 2025 → 02 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 22 Apr 2023 → 05 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 29 Aug 2015 → 20 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 03 Jun 2015 → 22 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 118 | 30 | 25.4% | 1 | 14 |
| Finnish Cup | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 14 |
| 2020 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 139 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2025), KTP drew 35 where the draw model expected 31.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.