What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Cup | 103 | 15 | 14.6% | 1 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 103 matches (Aug 1964 – Sep 2023), KSK Tongeren drew 15 where the draw model expected 19.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
A flat league average would have expected 18.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.