What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 20 Mar 2022 → 22 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 11 May 2019 → 25 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 21 Aug 2021 → 06 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 09 Oct 2022 → 19 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Mar 2019 → 28 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 05 Aug 2018 → 06 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 22 Oct 2012 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Apr 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 20 Jul 2024 → 13 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 28 Jul 2012 → 17 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 338 | 86 | 25.4% | 0 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 4 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 12 |
| 2021 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2020 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2016 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 4 |
| 2015 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 279 matches (Jul 2015 – Aug 2026), Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 68 where the draw model expected 73.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 71.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.