What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 25 Aug 2017 → 03 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 07 Mar 2025 → 24 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 21 Sep 2013 → 08 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 10 Aug 2024 → 03 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 25 Oct 2015 → 09 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 30 Nov 2025 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 25 Apr 2021 → 27 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 24 Oct 2020 → 05 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 04 Nov 2012 → 31 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 422 | 108 | 25.6% | 7 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 60 | 12 | 20.0% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 17 |
| 2024 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2020 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2019 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 17 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2013 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2012 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
Over 406 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Krasnodar drew 105 where the draw model expected 100.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.