What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 28 Sep 2019 → 20 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Aug 2021 → 21 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 09 Apr 2023 → 04 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Apr 2026 → 22 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 15 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 11 Sep 2026 → 23 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 10 Dec 2023 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 05 May 2024 → 25 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 22 Feb 2026 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 28 Sep 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 205 | 57 | 27.8% | 5 | 27 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2025 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2023 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2020 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 17 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 221 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Kolos Kovalivka drew 62 where the draw model expected 59.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 55.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.