What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 07 Mar 2015 → 30 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 May 2013 → 03 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 21 May 2016 → 09 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 06 Apr 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Sep 2016 → 03 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 23 Jul 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Sep 2017 → 30 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 08 Jul 2017 → 09 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 04 Mar 2017 → 02 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 14 Oct 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 171 | 56 | 32.8% | 0 | 14 |
| Emperor's Cup | 52 | 21 | 40.4% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2022 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 2014 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 9 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 131 matches (Mar 2015 – Jul 2025), Ventforet Kofu drew 39 where the draw model expected 34.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 31.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.