What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 Sep 1999 → 29 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 Sep 1996 → 22 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Apr 2002 → 22 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 15 Feb 1998 → 18 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 May 2026 → 23 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 21 Mar 2009 → 30 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 31 Aug 1997 → 02 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 30 Nov 2008 → 22 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Sep 2001 → 28 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 26 Feb 2000 → 23 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 384 | 91 | 23.7% | 0 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 97 | 28 | 28.9% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2025 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2002 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 1998 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 12 |
| 1997 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 11 |
| 1996 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1995 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 1994 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 492 matches (Mar 1977 – Oct 2026), Kocaelispor drew 122 where the draw model expected 120.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.