What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 01 Apr 2007 → 26 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 27 Nov 2010 → 19 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 23 Oct 2009 → 18 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 27 Mar 2012 → 29 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 18 Sep 2010 → 29 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 17 May 2009 → 12 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 19 Feb 2010 → 04 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 26 Nov 2016 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Apr 2009 → 10 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Feb 2009 → 13 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 37 | 27.2% | 0 | 11 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 3 | 8 |
| Regionalliga West | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 3 | 6 |
| DFB-Pokal | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2016 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
| 2012 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2011 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 12 |
| 2006 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
Over 260 matches (Aug 2006 – Aug 2024), TuS Koblenz drew 74 where the draw model expected 72.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.