What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Oct 2021 → 05 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 06 Oct 2020 → 08 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 20 Mar 2021 → 17 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 19 Jan 2021 → 23 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 12 Mar 2022 → 26 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 11 Sep 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 May 2021 → 22 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 21 Aug 2021 → 30 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 06 Mar 2021 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 04 Nov 1961 → 06 Jan 1962 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 87 | 20 | 23.0% | 2 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 2021 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 121 matches (Jan 1906 – Jul 2026), King’s Lynn Town drew 23 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.