What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 Aug 2020 → 30 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 23 Aug 2008 → 27 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 28 Sep 2013 → 05 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 25 Mar 2000 → 19 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 29 Apr 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 04 Oct 2003 → 10 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 19 Oct 1996 → 11 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Feb 2010 → 05 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Apr 2023 → 22 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 01 Mar 2014 → 10 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1170 | 292 | 25.0% | 0 | 18 |
| Scottish League Cup | 83 | 15 | 18.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish Championship | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2021 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2020 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 21 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 13 |
| 2016 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 4 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 13 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2010 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 12 |
| 2009 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 8 |
| 2008 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 20 |
| 2007 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2006 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 11 |
| 2003 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2002 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2001 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2000 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 1999 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 1998 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1995 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1966 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1965 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 525 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Kilmarnock drew 132 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.