What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Nov 2012 → 23 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 09 Oct 2004 → 19 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 30 Mar 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 20 Oct 2001 → 22 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 17 Oct 2015 → 16 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 25 Nov 2006 → 13 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 24 Mar 2012 → 27 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 Oct 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 09 Feb 2008 → 01 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 20 Mar 2001 → 18 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 562 | 147 | 26.2% | 1 | 23 |
| League Two | 230 | 59 | 25.7% | 3 | 22 |
| FA Cup | 69 | 19 | 27.5% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 2024 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 49 | 4 | 8.2% | 16 |
| 2012 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2009 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 14 |
| 2003 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 139 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Kidderminster Harriers drew 39 where the draw model expected 37.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.