What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 12 Sep 2020 → 28 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 12 Mar 2021 → 10 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 24 Jul 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 07 May 2022 → 28 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 29 Mar 2025 → 20 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 01 Dec 2024 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 12 Mar 2023 → 09 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 23 Oct 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 05 Dec 2021 → 06 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 06 Oct 2024 → 27 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 122 | 34 | 27.9% | 2 | 10 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2022 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
Over 122 matches (Aug 2020 – May 2025), Khimki drew 34 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.