What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 26 Dec 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 05 Sep 2009 → 17 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 06 Dec 2008 → 14 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Sep 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 21 Nov 2010 → 25 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 17 Mar 2012 → 14 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 03 Sep 2011 → 01 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 28 Dec 2009 → 23 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Apr 2011 → 16 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 15 Feb 2011 → 02 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 182 | 47 | 25.8% | 1 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 102 | 29 | 28.4% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2008 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 284 matches (Feb 1896 – Dec 2024), Kettering Town drew 76 where the draw model expected 73.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 69.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.