What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15 Oct 2011 → 11 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 17 Feb 2018 → 13 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 Apr 2006 → 27 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 19 Sep 2004 → 22 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Jan 1998 → 12 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 03 Dec 2023 → 25 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 22 Jan 2023 → 14 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 20 Oct 2018 → 19 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 20 Nov 2016 → 14 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Dec 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 832 | 223 | 26.8% | 2 | 16 |
| Turkish Cup | 114 | 30 | 26.3% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2021 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 10 |
| 2013 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 12 |
| 2010 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 2009 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2007 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 14 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 1997 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 1995 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 1994 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 457 matches (Feb 2015 – May 2026), Kayserispor drew 131 where the draw model expected 113.8 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 112.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.