What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 11 Dec 1994 → 02 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 07 Feb 1999 → 22 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 15 Feb 1998 → 30 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 15 Dec 1996 → 16 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 23 Apr 2000 → 30 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 08 Oct 1994 → 30 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 04 May 1997 → 28 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 30 Jan 2000 → 12 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 09 Nov 1997 → 07 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 24 Oct 2010 → 21 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 230 | 47 | 20.4% | 0 | 21 |
| Greek Football Cup | 160 | 43 | 26.9% | 2 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2009 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2000 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 12 |
| 1999 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 19 |
| 1998 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1997 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 1996 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 18 |
| 1994 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 3 |
| 1984 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1973 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 390 matches (Oct 1938 – Dec 2025), AO Kavala drew 90 where the draw model expected 92.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 90.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.