What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 22 Dec 1996 → 16 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 13 Apr 1997 → 24 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 20 Oct 1996 → 08 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 24 Dec 1981 → 28 Apr 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 12 Jan 2005 → 24 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Oct 1987 → 27 Jan 1988 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 15 Dec 1982 → 10 Mar 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 25 Feb 2004 → 07 Apr 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 07 May 1980 → 25 May 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 06 Feb 1980 → 05 Mar 1980 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek Football Cup | 83 | 16 | 19.3% | 1 | 6 |
| Super League Greece | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 6 | 13 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2004 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 12 |
| 1996 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 119 matches (Feb 1971 – Aug 2023), Kastoria drew 22 where the draw model expected 26.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.