What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 28 Feb 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 16 Mar 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 10 May 2013 → 09 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Nov 2016 → 30 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 24 Sep 2023 → 09 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 08 Feb 2016 → 24 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 05 Jan 2024 → 09 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 22 Apr 2021 → 26 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 27 Apr 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 28 Aug 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 604 | 152 | 25.2% | 0 | 20 |
| Turkish Cup | 84 | 16 | 19.1% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 21 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 18 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2012 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2011 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2009 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2007 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 476 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Kasımpaşa SK drew 113 where the draw model expected 114.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.