What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 31 Jul 2013 → 17 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 27 Jun 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 25 Feb 2017 → 05 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 26 Aug 2020 → 03 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 03 Sep 2016 → 14 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 29 Mar 2025 → 11 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 12 Jul 2017 → 21 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 19 Jul 2015 → 03 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 09 Mar 2024 → 06 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 27 Nov 2021 → 10 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 503 | 105 | 20.9% | 1 | 31 |
| Emperor's Cup | 94 | 20 | 21.3% | 1 | 6 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 14 |
| 2024 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 19 |
| 2020 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2019 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 18 |
| 2016 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 16 |
| 2015 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2013 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 20 |
| 2012 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 450 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Kashima Antlers drew 91 where the draw model expected 110.9 from those particular fixtures — about 20 fewer, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.