What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 21 Oct 2024 → 28 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 29 Nov 1992 → 01 Sep 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 23 Apr 2017 → 31 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 13 Aug 2005 → 11 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 17 May 2026 → 22 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 21 Oct 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 May 2025 → 03 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 31 Mar 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Oct 2016 → 19 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 23 Apr 2016 → 31 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 218 | 68 | 31.2% | 1 | 10 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 104 | 15 | 14.4% | 3 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2020 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2019 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 4 |
| 2018 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2017 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 7 |
| 2016 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2010 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 239 matches (Jul 2015 – Nov 2026), Karpaty Lviv drew 73 where the draw model expected 63.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 59.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.