What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 30 Oct 2009 → 21 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 May 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 May 1998 → 01 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 Apr 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 16 Nov 1998 → 18 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 20 Apr 2019 → 13 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 24 Oct 2012 → 26 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 May 2007 → 06 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 02 Feb 2007 → 29 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 24 Aug 1996 → 05 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 758 | 216 | 28.5% | 6 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 238 | 72 | 30.3% | 4 | 13 |
| 3. Liga | 114 | 33 | 29.0% | 5 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 13 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2011 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2010 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 2007 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2006 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2004 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2000 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1998 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 1997 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 4 |
| 1996 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 1995 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 8 |
Over 439 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Karlsruher SC drew 131 where the draw model expected 117.8 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 119.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.