What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 378 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Kalmar FF drew 89 where the draw model expected 93.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 91.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 30 Oct 2021 → 22 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 May 2017 → 27 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 23 Aug 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 29 Jul 2012 → 26 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 23 Feb 2020 → 19 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 19 May 2024 → 20 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 27 Apr 2026 → 12 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 08 Apr 2015 → 30 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 17 Jul 2022 → 05 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Jul 2018 → 27 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 416 | 105 | 25.2% | 4 | 18 |
| Swedish Cup | 102 | 27 | 26.5% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 12 |
| 2019 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 17 |
| 2016 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 10 |
| 2014 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 13 |
| 2011 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 11:00 |
IFK Norrköping
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.