What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 13 Mar 1999 → 04 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 31 Jan 2026 → 17 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 11 May 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 12 Mar 2005 → 10 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 03 Feb 2001 → 28 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 31 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 21 Oct 1998 → 16 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 12 May 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 20 Apr 2013 → 24 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Mar 2011 → 06 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 520 | 151 | 29.0% | 3 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 476 | 118 | 24.8% | 9 | 20 |
| 3. Liga | 152 | 54 | 35.5% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 78 | 7 | 9.0% | 2 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 16 |
| 2025 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 37 | 18 | 48.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2012 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2011 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2009 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2006 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 14 |
| 2000 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 8 |
| 1999 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 27 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 13 |
| 1997 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 1996 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1994 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1993 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1981 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
Over 449 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Kaiserslautern drew 130 where the draw model expected 122.1 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.