What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 03 Jan 2026 → 09 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 14 Sep 2025 → 23 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 16 Mar 2024 → 07 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 02 Apr 2023 → 01 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 25 Apr 2021 → 17 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Nov 2020 → 09 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 02 Mar 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 31 Oct 2021 → 18 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 17 Feb 2019 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Oct 2018 → 12 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 276 | 70 | 25.4% | 0 | 11 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 2025 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 8 |
Over 276 matches (Sep 2018 – Apr 2026), Juventus U23 drew 70 where the draw model expected 84.2 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 83.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.