What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 Apr 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 13 Jul 2024 → 01 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 06 Sep 2022 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Sep 2023 → 14 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 04 Mar 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 Mar 2021 → 31 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 19 Jul 2019 → 22 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 18 Jan 2025 → 25 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Aug 2021 → 01 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 26 Jan 2021 → 06 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 251 | 62 | 24.7% | 0 | 14 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 14 |
| 2025 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2021 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
Over 251 matches (Jul 2019 – Oct 2026), FC Juárez drew 62 where the draw model expected 66.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 68.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.