What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 21 Jun 2017 → 03 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Aug 2020 → 14 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 24 May 2023 → 08 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 14 Aug 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 24 Oct 2020 → 10 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 13 May 2018 → 17 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 18 Aug 2021 → 26 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 17 Sep 2017 → 05 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 31 Jul 2016 → 11 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 13 Sep 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 240 | 71 | 29.6% | 1 | 10 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 116 | 18 | 15.5% | 2 | 4 |
| Eliteserien | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 0 | 14 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2016 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 303 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), FK Jerv drew 83 where the draw model expected 66.5 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.