What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 20 Oct 2013 → 01 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 14 Apr 2002 → 25 May 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 17 Jun 2001 → 22 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 18 Aug 2013 → 15 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Nov 2001 → 22 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 20 Oct 2001 → 11 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 Nov 2000 → 20 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 22 Oct 2000 → 12 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 03 Sep 2000 → 01 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 21 Dec 1997 → 25 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 168 | 53 | 31.6% | 3 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2013 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2000 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1998 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
| 1997 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 3 |
Over 181 matches (Aug 1997 – Aug 2026), Real Jaén drew 58 where the draw model expected 56.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.