What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 22 Jun 2019 → 14 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 12 May 2012 → 28 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 28 Sep 2024 → 08 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 24 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 06 Apr 2019 → 26 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 04 Mar 2017 → 22 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Oct 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 25 Jun 2017 → 05 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 24 Aug 2016 → 22 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 28 Apr 2022 → 22 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 277 | 78 | 28.2% | 8 | 9 |
| Emperor's Cup | 63 | 12 | 19.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 236 matches (Aug 2015 – Jun 2025), Júbilo Iwata drew 66 where the draw model expected 60.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 57.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.