What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 17 Jul 2014 → 14 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 31 Aug 2016 → 19 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 20 Sep 2014 → 09 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 11 Nov 2023 → 21 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 23 Apr 2023 → 31 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 17 Aug 2019 → 25 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 27 Sep 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 12 Dec 2020 → 31 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 20 Aug 2015 → 16 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 10 Oct 2012 → 25 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 527 | 152 | 28.8% | 3 | 12 |
| Copa do Brasil | 71 | 14 | 19.7% | 1 | 8 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 7 |
| 2017 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2014 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2013 | 47 | 20 | 42.6% | 5 |
| 2012 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 470 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Internacional drew 126 where the draw model expected 133.9 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 126.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.