What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 18 Oct 2025 → 14 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Jan 2024 → 13 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 25 Apr 2012 → 30 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 14 Nov 2010 → 23 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 15 Feb 1998 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 14 Jan 2026 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 23 Apr 2023 → 10 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 06 Aug 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 03 Mar 2013 → 08 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 27 Nov 2011 → 29 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1220 | 290 | 23.8% | 5 | 25 |
| UEFA Champions League | 242 | 60 | 24.8% | 4 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 191 | 44 | 23.0% | 6 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 78 | 20 | 25.6% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 3 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Supercoppa Italiana | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 67 | 12 | 17.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 2023 | 64 | 15 | 23.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 57 | 13 | 22.8% | 13 |
| 2021 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2020 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 12 |
| 2017 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2013 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2012 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2011 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 11 |
| 2009 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2005 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 12 |
| 2004 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2001 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2000 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 14 |
| 1997 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 12 |
| 1995 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1965 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1964 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 641 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Inter Milan drew 143 where the draw model expected 143.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 163.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.