What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 28 Nov 2020 → 20 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 23 Feb 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 18 Apr 2026 → 17 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 28 Jul 2014 → 01 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 06 Oct 2018 → 02 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 04 Oct 2015 → 07 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 10 Jun 2022 → 10 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 12 Jul 2015 → 19 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 12 Oct 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Nov 2024 → 09 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 384 | 129 | 33.6% | 0 | 10 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 68 | 23 | 33.8% | 0 | 13 |
| Copa Argentina | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 3 | 4 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 12 |
| 2018 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 5 |
| 2016 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2014 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 11 |
| 2013 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 5 |
| 2012 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 428 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Club Atlético Independiente drew 142 where the draw model expected 134.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.