Independiente Rivadavia
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 122 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Independiente Rivadavia drew 33 where the draw model expected 38.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 36.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 27 Jan 2024 → 12 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 17 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 12 Mar 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 16 Apr 2025 → 11 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 10 Nov 2024 → 09 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 18 Aug 2024 → 24 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 May 2024 → 18 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 26 Aug 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 30 Jul 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 30 Aug 2025 → 13 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 87 | 27 | 31.0% | 4 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 0 | 2 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 00:30 |
Independiente Rivadavia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 20:00 |
Rosario Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Independiente Rivadavia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Argentinos Juniors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Independiente Rivadavia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.