What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 26 Jan 2024 → 11 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 17 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 11 Mar 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 16 Apr 2025 → 11 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 10 Nov 2024 → 09 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 17 Aug 2024 → 23 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 May 2024 → 18 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 26 Aug 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 30 Jul 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 30 Aug 2025 → 12 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 92 | 29 | 31.5% | 2 | 7 |
| Copa Argentina | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 0 | 2 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 127 matches (Jul 2015 – Nov 2026), Independiente Rivadavia drew 35 where the draw model expected 39.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.