What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Apr 2016 → 17 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 Aug 2018 → 18 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 04 Jul 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 05 Jul 2021 → 22 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 30 Aug 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 15 Apr 2017 → 04 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Oct 2016 → 01 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 Aug 2025 → 23 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Apr 2025 → 21 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 22 Jul 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 348 | 82 | 23.6% | 1 | 16 |
| Finnish Cup | 47 | 4 | 8.5% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 11 |
| 2025 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2020 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 14 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 16 |
| 2015 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 386 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Ilves Tampere drew 86 where the draw model expected 97.7 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 94.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.