What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 22 Oct 2011 → 28 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 27 Nov 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 26 Jan 2013 → 16 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 28 Aug 2012 → 24 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 20 Aug 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 19 Sep 2020 → 24 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 06 Nov 2004 → 08 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 07 Nov 1998 → 23 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 29 Aug 1998 → 20 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Mar 2003 → 16 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 690 | 181 | 26.2% | 2 | 16 |
| League Two | 368 | 111 | 30.2% | 2 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 297 | 84 | 28.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League One | 230 | 57 | 24.8% | 3 | 14 |
| Premier League | 199 | 53 | 26.6% | 0 | 10 |
| League Cup | 152 | 38 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2023 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2017 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 16 |
| 2012 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 16 |
| 2011 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2010 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 9 |
| 2009 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2008 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2007 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2005 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2004 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2002 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2000 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 1997 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1996 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 11 |
| 1993 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1972 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1960 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1907 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 598 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Hull City drew 156 where the draw model expected 162.2 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 158.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.