What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 19 Apr 2022 → 03 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 Jun 2019 → 11 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 13 Sep 2022 → 08 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Feb 2026 → 25 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 23 May 2023 → 01 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 May 2014 → 29 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 May 2025 → 16 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 02 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Mar 2019 → 11 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 521 | 145 | 27.8% | 2 | 13 |
| US Open Cup | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2025 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 14 |
| 2021 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 4 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2018 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2017 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 449 matches (Mar 2015 – Nov 2026), Houston Dynamo drew 126 where the draw model expected 116.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 112.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.