What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 253 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), AC Horsens drew 68 where the draw model expected 62.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 62.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 23 Oct 2016 → 18 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 14 Jul 2019 → 04 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 29 Nov 2020 → 14 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 02 Aug 2026 → 11 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 22 Aug 2022 → 02 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Apr 2017 → 16 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 30 Oct 2013 → 29 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 16 Oct 2022 → 09 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 16 Sep 2018 → 21 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 20 May 2021 → 23 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 248 | 73 | 29.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Danish Cup | 53 | 6 | 11.3% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 4 |
| 2022 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2020 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 28 | 12 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
AC Horsens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.