What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 Jun 1999 → 17 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 May 2007 → 29 Jul 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 20 May 2014 → 17 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 02 Jul 2006 → 03 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 03 Aug 2003 → 12 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 29 Jun 2008 → 16 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 04 Sep 2005 → 30 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 09 May 2002 → 16 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 06 Apr 2015 → 09 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 13 Aug 2000 → 22 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 412 | 90 | 21.8% | 0 | 17 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 113 | 14 | 12.4% | 2 | 5 |
| Eliteserien | 90 | 29 | 32.2% | 2 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2014 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 13 |
| 2013 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 6 |
| 2011 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2007 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 15 |
| 2006 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2004 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 8 |
| 2003 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 2001 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 4 |
| 2000 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 17 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 615 matches (Jul 1925 – Sep 2026), Hønefoss BK drew 133 where the draw model expected 128.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.