Honduras
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 136 matches (Feb 2015 – Jun 2026), Honduras drew 36 where the draw model expected 29.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 09 Feb 2000 → 14 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 01 Apr 2009 → 21 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 20 Aug 2008 → 11 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 26 Mar 2013 → 06 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 15 Feb 2007 → 22 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 15 Nov 2024 → 24 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 08 Oct 2016 → 24 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Mar 2022 → 27 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Oct 2021 → 02 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Jun 2019 → 13 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 229 | 74 | 32.3% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 141 | 34 | 24.1% | 0 | 12 |
| Gold Cup | 63 | 11 | 17.5% | 1 | 5 |
| UNCAF Cup | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 3 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 3 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 2 | 3 |
| CCCF Championship | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 2 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa América | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Miami Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Copa América qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2022 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2013 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2012 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2011 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2010 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | 16 |
| 2008 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2007 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 11 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 20 | 0 | 0.0% | 20 |
| 1999 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1996 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1995 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1992 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1991 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1965 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1963 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1953 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
