What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 28 Jul 1993 → 02 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 16 Apr 1995 → 18 Jun 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 30 Aug 2016 → 21 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 09 Dec 1994 → 19 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 28 Apr 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 26 Feb 2017 → 17 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Oct 1994 → 30 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 02 Apr 1994 → 16 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 16 Oct 1993 → 06 Nov 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 14 Aug 2023 → 05 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 72 | 18 | 25.0% | 9 | 10 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 4 | 6 |
| DFB-Pokal | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
Over 117 matches (Jul 1993 – Aug 2025), FC 08 Homburg drew 28 where the draw model expected 32.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.