What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 17 Mar 2012 → 01 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 06 May 2024 → 10 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 04 Oct 2019 → 08 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 23 Feb 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 29 Apr 2023 → 07 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 25 Aug 2021 → 16 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Aug 2018 → 05 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 10 Oct 2020 → 11 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 05 Sep 2020 → 26 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 14 Oct 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 314 | 76 | 24.2% | 2 | 27 |
| Emperor's Cup | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 13 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 23 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 301 matches (Aug 2015 – Jun 2025), Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo drew 78 where the draw model expected 75.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.