What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 23 Sep 2018 → 02 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 16 Apr 2018 → 29 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 30 Apr 2016 → 07 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 20 Aug 2017 → 24 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Jun 2020 → 13 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 05 Aug 2025 → 15 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 03 Oct 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 22 Feb 2015 → 21 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 26 Oct 2014 → 30 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 12 May 2019 → 02 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 170 | 49 | 28.8% | 0 | 12 |
| Danish Cup | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 4 |
| 2018 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2014 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 182 matches (Feb 2015 – Jul 2026), Hobro IK drew 51 where the draw model expected 44.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 44.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.